Co-founder of True Value Intelligence, Basil Abia, has advocated diplomatic engagement in addressing the Iran war, arguing that continued military confrontation could worsen the economic and social consequences of the conflict.
Speaking during an interview with ARISE News on Friday, Abia said diplomatic engagement would be more economically and socioeconomically beneficial than continued military confrontation.
He argued that pursuing diplomacy would help reduce the broader economic and social consequences associated with prolonged military conflict, describing engagement as a more beneficial approach.
“It’s much better, significantly geoeconomically and socioeconomically better, to engage diplomatically.”
Abia acknowledged that previous diplomatic efforts had failed, attributing the breakdown partly to what he described as the erratic approach of the White House to negotiations.
“Yeah, it has failed for a number of reasons. The last time we had this conversation, I mentioned how erratic the White House has been in the negotiations, and that obviously has drawn down to the current situation that we’re in.”
He argued that despite the failure of previous efforts, continued military confrontation would not necessarily provide a solution to the conflict.
“Even though previous efforts may not have yielded the desired outcome, continuing with military confrontation does not necessarily mean that we are going to find a solution to this conflict.”
Abia said military action alone would not be sufficient to rein in Tehran, particularly because Iran’s mountainous terrain makes some strategic facilities difficult to access.
“I don’t think that White House would be able to rein in on Tehran militarily alone, because there are many outcomes to that.”
He also highlighted the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz, saying its significance to global energy supplies makes a military solution to the conflict even more complicated.
“The Strait of Hormuz is strategically important to global energy supplies, which makes a military solution even more complicated.”
In conclusion, he stressed that the challenges of achieving a military solution, coupled with the broader economic consequences of the conflict, make diplomatic engagement a more viable approach to addressing the war in Iran.
“We are talking about the difficulties of achieving a military solution, the wider economic consequences of the conflict, and why it is much better to engage diplomatically.”
Goodness Anunobi